Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 25?
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C
17%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$235 Vol.
3%
20°C
$343 Vol.
8%
21°C
$297 Vol.
17%
22°C
$211 Vol.
30%
23°C
$92 Vol.
27%
24°C
$360 Vol.
17%
25°C
$192 Vol.
8%
26°C
$80 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,008Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,008Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in ensemble models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF centers around subtle differences in high-pressure strength and Atlantic frontal timing, producing a tight cluster of possible maxima near 22–23°C for London on August 25. Late-August climatology places the daily high average at roughly 22°C, so traders are pricing the narrow spread between typical conditions and modest positive anomalies driven by daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1°C and the precise location of official observations, which incorporate urban effects. New model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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