Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Milan around 18–20°C for August 26 amid a transition from mid-month heat, with possible further cooling if Atlantic troughing strengthens northerly advection and cloud cover suppresses radiative warming. Persistent above-average Po Valley conditions earlier in August have given way to this moderation, reflected in trader positioning that assigns nearly 50% implied probability to 14°C or below while spreading remaining weight across the 15–24°C range. Urban heat island effects and typical late-August climatology (historical minima rarely below 16°C) temper extreme downside risk, yet model spread and front timing keep cooler bins competitive ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 69%
18°C 50%
16°C 48%
17°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
69%
15°C
44%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
50%
19°C
28%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
44%
24°C or higher
2%
14°C or below 69%
18°C 50%
16°C 48%
17°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
15°C
$0 Vol.
44%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
44%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Milan around 18–20°C for August 26 amid a transition from mid-month heat, with possible further cooling if Atlantic troughing strengthens northerly advection and cloud cover suppresses radiative warming. Persistent above-average Po Valley conditions earlier in August have given way to this moderation, reflected in trader positioning that assigns nearly 50% implied probability to 14°C or below while spreading remaining weight across the 15–24°C range. Urban heat island effects and typical late-August climatology (historical minima rarely below 16°C) temper extreme downside risk, yet model spread and front timing keep cooler bins competitive ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Milan around 18–20°C for August 26 amid a transition from mid-month heat, with possible further cooling if Atlantic troughing strengthens northerly advection and cloud cover suppresses radiative warming. Persistent above-average Po Valley conditions earlier in August have given way to this moderation, reflected in trader positioning that assigns nearly 50% implied probability to 14°C or below while spreading remaining weight across the 15–24°C range. Urban heat island effects and typical late-August climatology (historical minima rarely below 16°C) temper extreme downside risk, yet model spread and front timing keep cooler bins competitive ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Milan around 18–20°C for August 26 amid a transition from mid-month heat, with possible further cooling if Atlantic troughing strengthens northerly advection and cloud cover suppresses radiative warming. Persistent above-average Po Valley conditions earlier in August have given way to this moderation, reflected in trader positioning that assigns nearly 50% implied probability to 14°C or below while spreading remaining weight across the 15–24°C range. Urban heat island effects and typical late-August climatology (historical minima rarely below 16°C) temper extreme downside risk, yet model spread and front timing keep cooler bins competitive ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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