Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, aligning with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions and August climatology near 31–32°C. This consensus drives the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome, as recent runs show stable high pressure with limited cloud cover or stronger sea breezes that could suppress peaks. Official resolution will rely on the verified station reading rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted convective activity or enhanced onshore flow develops before peak heating, though current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$15,849 Vol.
$15,849 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$15,849 Vol.
$15,849 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$731 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,139 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,504 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,101 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,584 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$905 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, aligning with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions and August climatology near 31–32°C. This consensus drives the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome, as recent runs show stable high pressure with limited cloud cover or stronger sea breezes that could suppress peaks. Official resolution will rely on the verified station reading rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted convective activity or enhanced onshore flow develops before peak heating, though current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,849Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, aligning with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions and August climatology near 31–32°C. This consensus drives the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome, as recent runs show stable high pressure with limited cloud cover or stronger sea breezes that could suppress peaks. Official resolution will rely on the verified station reading rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted convective activity or enhanced onshore flow develops before peak heating, though current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,849Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, aligning with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions and August climatology near 31–32°C. This consensus drives the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome, as recent runs show stable high pressure with limited cloud cover or stronger sea breezes that could suppress peaks. Official resolution will rely on the verified station reading rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted convective activity or enhanced onshore flow develops before peak heating, though current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan