**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share. Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s. Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 23?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 23?
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 3%
$12,060 Vol.
$12,060 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 3%
$12,060 Vol.
$12,060 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$563 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$869 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$913 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$680 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$835 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$844 Vol.
28%
92-93°F
$2,727 Vol.
57%
94-95°F
$950 Vol.
13%
96-97°F
$930 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$1,476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share.
Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s.
Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$12,060Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share.
Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s.
Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,060Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share. Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s. Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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