Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, released September 11, anchors the elevated 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the final September 2026 print. Persistent cost-of-living pressures, including a resurgence in gasoline and diesel prices to multi-year highs and renewed trade tensions, drove the month-over-month drop from 51.7 in August while pushing one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. The expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8, reflecting weaker outlooks for personal finances and business conditions, even as the current-conditions gauge held relatively steady near 50.9. Broader context includes above-target CPI readings near 3.4% and shifting Fed rate-hike expectations, with traders assigning lower odds to outcomes above 52 amid these headwinds. The final release later this month will determine whether revisions alter the current clustering.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour46,0 à 48,9 69%
55,0 à 57,9 14%
58,0+ 11%
43,0 à 45,9 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
<43,0
4%
43,0 à 45,9
8%
46,0 à 48,9
69%
49,0 à 51,9
7%
52,0 à 54,9
7%
55,0 à 57,9
14%
58,0+
11%
46,0 à 48,9 69%
55,0 à 57,9 14%
58,0+ 11%
43,0 à 45,9 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
<43,0
$264 Vol.
4%
43,0 à 45,9
$60 Vol.
8%
46,0 à 48,9
$182 Vol.
69%
49,0 à 51,9
$45 Vol.
7%
52,0 à 54,9
$85 Vol.
7%
55,0 à 57,9
$50 Vol.
14%
58,0+
$50 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, released September 11, anchors the elevated 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the final September 2026 print. Persistent cost-of-living pressures, including a resurgence in gasoline and diesel prices to multi-year highs and renewed trade tensions, drove the month-over-month drop from 51.7 in August while pushing one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. The expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8, reflecting weaker outlooks for personal finances and business conditions, even as the current-conditions gauge held relatively steady near 50.9. Broader context includes above-target CPI readings near 3.4% and shifting Fed rate-hike expectations, with traders assigning lower odds to outcomes above 52 amid these headwinds. The final release later this month will determine whether revisions alter the current clustering.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volume
$736Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETSource de résolution
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, released September 11, anchors the elevated 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the final September 2026 print. Persistent cost-of-living pressures, including a resurgence in gasoline and diesel prices to multi-year highs and renewed trade tensions, drove the month-over-month drop from 51.7 in August while pushing one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. The expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8, reflecting weaker outlooks for personal finances and business conditions, even as the current-conditions gauge held relatively steady near 50.9. Broader context includes above-target CPI readings near 3.4% and shifting Fed rate-hike expectations, with traders assigning lower odds to outcomes above 52 amid these headwinds. The final release later this month will determine whether revisions alter the current clustering.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$736Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETSource de résolution
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, released September 11, anchors the elevated 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the final September 2026 print. Persistent cost-of-living pressures, including a resurgence in gasoline and diesel prices to multi-year highs and renewed trade tensions, drove the month-over-month drop from 51.7 in August while pushing one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. The expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8, reflecting weaker outlooks for personal finances and business conditions, even as the current-conditions gauge held relatively steady near 50.9. Broader context includes above-target CPI readings near 3.4% and shifting Fed rate-hike expectations, with traders assigning lower odds to outcomes above 52 amid these headwinds. The final release later this month will determine whether revisions alter the current clustering.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes