The June 2026 FOMC meeting reinforced a hawkish tilt, with the Fed holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% while the median dot plot projection for year-end 2026 rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, shifting from an implied cut toward potential hikes amid sticky inflation pressures linked to geopolitical tensions and tariffs. CME FedWatch Tool pricing now assigns negligible probability to cuts through year-end, with traders instead assigning rising odds to a 25 basis point hike by December as the committee prioritizes upside inflation risks over labor market cooling. Upcoming July and September meetings, alongside fresh CPI and employment data, will test whether this path holds or if softer readings reopen easing expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFed Announces Emergency Rate Cut to 0% - Markets Crash 50%
The Federal Reserve has announced an emergency rate cut to 0%. All prediction markets are being resolved immediately. Withdraw your funds at polymarket-emergency.com before resolution.
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