Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year and a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1-4.2% underpin the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has held the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026 amid solid GDP expansion and energy-driven price pressures, with some members favoring hikes rather than easing. Futures markets currently price in potential tightening or a prolonged pause through year-end, reflecting trader consensus that standard policy adjustments will suffice absent acute shocks. A sudden severe downturn from geopolitical escalation or financial stress could still prompt an intermeeting move, though current indicators show limited scope for such an outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBaisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Oui
$139,101 Vol.
$139,101 Vol.
Oui
$139,101 Vol.
$139,101 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year and a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1-4.2% underpin the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has held the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026 amid solid GDP expansion and energy-driven price pressures, with some members favoring hikes rather than easing. Futures markets currently price in potential tightening or a prolonged pause through year-end, reflecting trader consensus that standard policy adjustments will suffice absent acute shocks. A sudden severe downturn from geopolitical escalation or financial stress could still prompt an intermeeting move, though current indicators show limited scope for such an outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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