Recent August nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside at +162,000 against consensus near +56,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent and labor-force participation rising. This strength has kept September FOMC rate-hike odds elevated near 60 percent, tempering expectations for further acceleration in hiring. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore clusters tightly around 50k–150k additions for September, balancing the possibility of seasonal payback and policy restraint against the risk of sustained momentum. Key swing factors include the upcoming CPI release, any further revisions to prior months, and corporate hiring signals ahead of the October report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien d'emplois ont été ajoutés en septembre ?
50 000 à 100 000 25%
100 000 à 150 000 24%
0 à 50 000 21%
-50 000 à 0 14%
<-50k
9%
-50 000 à 0
14%
0 à 50 000
21%
50 000 à 100 000
25%
100 000 à 150 000
24%
150k à 200k
8%
200k+
10%
50 000 à 100 000 25%
100 000 à 150 000 24%
0 à 50 000 21%
-50 000 à 0 14%
<-50k
9%
-50 000 à 0
14%
0 à 50 000
21%
50 000 à 100 000
25%
100 000 à 150 000
24%
150k à 200k
8%
200k+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Source de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent August nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside at +162,000 against consensus near +56,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent and labor-force participation rising. This strength has kept September FOMC rate-hike odds elevated near 60 percent, tempering expectations for further acceleration in hiring. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore clusters tightly around 50k–150k additions for September, balancing the possibility of seasonal payback and policy restraint against the risk of sustained momentum. Key swing factors include the upcoming CPI release, any further revisions to prior months, and corporate hiring signals ahead of the October report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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