South Korea's annual CPI inflation for 2026 trades in a tight range, with the 2.7–2.9% band holding a slim lead at 32.8% implied probability. The latest July 2026 reading of 2.8% year-over-year, below consensus and down from June's 3.2% peak, reflects easing transport and food costs after earlier oil-price spillovers. The Bank of Korea projects 2.7% headline inflation for the full year following its July base-rate hike to 2.75%, citing persistent core pressures from domestic demand, wages, and currency weakness. Traders weigh these moderating prints against risks of renewed upside from energy and growth momentum, keeping the 3.0%+ and 2.4–2.6% outcomes within a few points and underscoring uncertainty ahead of further data releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,7 % à 2,9 % 32.8%
3,0 % + 28.6%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 26.6%
2,1 % à 2,3 % 10.2%
$31,299 Vol.
$31,299 Vol.
<1,5 %
3%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
3%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
3%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
10%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
27%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
33%
3,0 % +
29%
2,7 % à 2,9 % 32.8%
3,0 % + 28.6%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 26.6%
2,1 % à 2,3 % 10.2%
$31,299 Vol.
$31,299 Vol.
<1,5 %
3%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
3%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
3%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
10%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
27%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
33%
3,0 % +
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea's annual CPI inflation for 2026 trades in a tight range, with the 2.7–2.9% band holding a slim lead at 32.8% implied probability. The latest July 2026 reading of 2.8% year-over-year, below consensus and down from June's 3.2% peak, reflects easing transport and food costs after earlier oil-price spillovers. The Bank of Korea projects 2.7% headline inflation for the full year following its July base-rate hike to 2.75%, citing persistent core pressures from domestic demand, wages, and currency weakness. Traders weigh these moderating prints against risks of renewed upside from energy and growth momentum, keeping the 3.0%+ and 2.4–2.6% outcomes within a few points and underscoring uncertainty ahead of further data releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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