Recent Japan inflation data show core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) moderating to 1.7-1.9% YoY through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August reading reaching 2.0% amid broadening cost pass-through from Middle East-related energy pressures and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation rising gradually toward levels consistent with its 2% target in the second half of 2026 and into 2027, supported by wage-price dynamics and AI-driven demand, though the effects of elevated crude oil prices are expected to fade. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability for the 2.0-2.4% band incorporates these trends and the upcoming September 17-18 policy meeting, while the 41.5% odds on ≤1.9% acknowledge the risk of slower underlying momentum if subsidies or external factors weigh on prices. Higher bands above 2.5% carry minimal weight given the current trajectory and base effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 59%
≤1.9% 42%
3,0-3,4 % <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,177 Vol.
$43,177 Vol.
12 févr. 2027
≤1.9%
42%
2.0-2.4%
59%
2.5-2.9%
<1%
3,0-3,4 %
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0 %+
<1%
2.0-2.4% 59%
≤1.9% 42%
3,0-3,4 % <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,177 Vol.
$43,177 Vol.
12 févr. 2027
≤1.9%
$12,404 Vol.
42%
2.0-2.4%
$17,113 Vol.
59%
2.5-2.9%
$9,443 Vol.
<1%
3,0-3,4 %
$1,322 Vol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
4,0 %+
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan inflation data show core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) moderating to 1.7-1.9% YoY through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August reading reaching 2.0% amid broadening cost pass-through from Middle East-related energy pressures and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation rising gradually toward levels consistent with its 2% target in the second half of 2026 and into 2027, supported by wage-price dynamics and AI-driven demand, though the effects of elevated crude oil prices are expected to fade. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability for the 2.0-2.4% band incorporates these trends and the upcoming September 17-18 policy meeting, while the 41.5% odds on ≤1.9% acknowledge the risk of slower underlying momentum if subsidies or external factors weigh on prices. Higher bands above 2.5% carry minimal weight given the current trajectory and base effects.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$43,177Date de fin
12 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan inflation data show core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) moderating to 1.7-1.9% YoY through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August reading reaching 2.0% amid broadening cost pass-through from Middle East-related energy pressures and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation rising gradually toward levels consistent with its 2% target in the second half of 2026 and into 2027, supported by wage-price dynamics and AI-driven demand, though the effects of elevated crude oil prices are expected to fade. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability for the 2.0-2.4% band incorporates these trends and the upcoming September 17-18 policy meeting, while the 41.5% odds on ≤1.9% acknowledge the risk of slower underlying momentum if subsidies or external factors weigh on prices. Higher bands above 2.5% carry minimal weight given the current trajectory and base effects.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$43,177Date de fin
12 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan inflation data show core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) moderating to 1.7-1.9% YoY through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August reading reaching 2.0% amid broadening cost pass-through from Middle East-related energy pressures and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation rising gradually toward levels consistent with its 2% target in the second half of 2026 and into 2027, supported by wage-price dynamics and AI-driven demand, though the effects of elevated crude oil prices are expected to fade. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% probability for the 2.0-2.4% band incorporates these trends and the upcoming September 17-18 policy meeting, while the 41.5% odds on ≤1.9% acknowledge the risk of slower underlying momentum if subsidies or external factors weigh on prices. Higher bands above 2.5% carry minimal weight given the current trajectory and base effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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