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icon for Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc)
Économie·FED

Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc)

icon for Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc)
Économie·FED

Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc)

sept. 16

oct. 28

déc. 9

sept. 16

oct. 28

déc. 9

Pause–Pause–Pause 28%

Augmenter–Pause–Pause 19%

Pause–Pause–Hausse 12%

Pause–Hausse–Hausse 12%

Polymarket

$10,897 Vol.

Pause–Pause–Pause 28%

Augmenter–Pause–Pause 19%

Pause–Pause–Hausse 12%

Pause–Hausse–Hausse 12%

Polymarket

$10,897 Vol.

Hausse–Pause–Hausse

$314 Vol.

11%

Augmenter–Pause–Pause

$296 Vol.

19%

Relèvement–Relèvement–Relèvement

$216 Vol.

5%

Hausse–Hausse–Pause

$237 Vol.

6%

Pause–Pause–Hausse

$253 Vol.

12%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$8,928 Vol.

28%

Pause–Hausse–Hausse

$237 Vol.

12%

Pause–Hausse–Pause

$214 Vol.

10%

Autre

$203 Vol.

5%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent U.S. labor market resilience, with August nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000 and unemployment holding at 4.1%, alongside persistent inflation pressures has sustained uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s policy path through year-end. The June 2026 Summary of Economic Projections revised the median year-end federal funds rate upward to 3.8%, reflecting a hawkish tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh and nine participants favoring at least one hike by December. This backdrop fragments trader consensus across rate sequences for the September, October/November, and December FOMC meetings, where no single path exceeds 30% probability. Incoming September CPI and PCE releases, plus the September 15-16 FOMC decision, will likely clarify whether data-dependent tightening risks or a sustained pause prevail.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volume
$10,897
Date de fin
9 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent U.S. labor market resilience, with August nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000 and unemployment holding at 4.1%, alongside persistent inflation pressures has sustained uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s policy path through year-end. The June 2026 Summary of Economic Projections revised the median year-end federal funds rate upward to 3.8%, reflecting a hawkish tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh and nine participants favoring at least one hike by December. This backdrop fragments trader consensus across rate sequences for the September, October/November, and December FOMC meetings, where no single path exceeds 30% probability. Incoming September CPI and PCE releases, plus the September 15-16 FOMC decision, will likely clarify whether data-dependent tightening risks or a sustained pause prevail.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volume
$10,897
Date de fin
9 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

51%
icon for La Fed augmentera-t-elle les taux d'intérêt de 25 pdb après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?

La Fed augmentera-t-elle les taux d'intérêt de 25 pdb après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?

51%
Oui
icon for Quelle sera la prochaine modification du taux de la Fed ?

Quelle sera la prochaine modification du taux de la Fed ?

84%
Hausse

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Pause–Pause–Pause » à 28%, suivi de « Augmenter–Pause–Pause » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 28¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc) » a généré $10.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 2, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc) », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc) » est « Pause–Pause–Pause » à 28%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Augmenter–Pause–Pause » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décisions de la Fed (sept-déc) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.