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icon for Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ?

Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ?

icon for Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ?

Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ?

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

0 34%

1 28%

2 23%

3 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

0 34%

1 28%

2 23%

3 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

0

$236 Vol.

34%

1

$31 Vol.

28%

2

$56 Vol.

14%

3

$146 Vol.

16%

4+

$5 Vol.

7%

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing a 4.2% June CPI print, fueled by energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions, alongside resilient labor markets and Treasury yields, has elevated expectations for a more restrictive policy path into 2027. The July FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscores internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the dot plot reflecting nine participants anticipating tighter conditions by year-end. These dynamics create competitive pricing between zero and one dissent for the January 2027 meeting, as traders weigh whether persistent above-target inflation and geopolitical risks will sustain hawkish sentiment or yield to incoming data releases that could unify the committee around the prevailing stance.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$474
Date de fin
27 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing a 4.2% June CPI print, fueled by energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions, alongside resilient labor markets and Treasury yields, has elevated expectations for a more restrictive policy path into 2027. The July FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscores internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the dot plot reflecting nine participants anticipating tighter conditions by year-end. These dynamics create competitive pricing between zero and one dissent for the January 2027 meeting, as traders weigh whether persistent above-target inflation and geopolitical risks will sustain hawkish sentiment or yield to incoming data releases that could unify the committee around the prevailing stance.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$474
Date de fin
27 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Connexes

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61%
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Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 0 » à 34%, suivi de « 1 » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 34¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ? » est « 0 » à 34%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 34% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1 » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de janvier ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.