Trump's sporadic use of "Praise be to Allah" on Truth Social has occurred in posts tied to U.S. actions against Iran, including assertions of control over the Strait of Hormuz and threats amid stalled diplomacy, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 76.5% probability to no repeat by August 31 because these invocations align with discrete escalatory moments rather than routine commentary, and no major new military, diplomatic, or Iran-related developments have emerged in the past several days to prompt another statement. The short resolution window further limits opportunities absent a sudden catalyst, reflecting the skin-in-the-game consensus on the phrase's conditional pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated24% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's sporadic use of "Praise be to Allah" on Truth Social has occurred in posts tied to U.S. actions against Iran, including assertions of control over the Strait of Hormuz and threats amid stalled diplomacy, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 76.5% probability to no repeat by August 31 because these invocations align with discrete escalatory moments rather than routine commentary, and no major new military, diplomatic, or Iran-related developments have emerged in the past several days to prompt another statement. The short resolution window further limits opportunities absent a sudden catalyst, reflecting the skin-in-the-game consensus on the phrase's conditional pattern.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Volume
$153End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's sporadic use of "Praise be to Allah" on Truth Social has occurred in posts tied to U.S. actions against Iran, including assertions of control over the Strait of Hormuz and threats amid stalled diplomacy, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 76.5% probability to no repeat by August 31 because these invocations align with discrete escalatory moments rather than routine commentary, and no major new military, diplomatic, or Iran-related developments have emerged in the past several days to prompt another statement. The short resolution window further limits opportunities absent a sudden catalyst, reflecting the skin-in-the-game consensus on the phrase's conditional pattern.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$153End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's sporadic use of "Praise be to Allah" on Truth Social has occurred in posts tied to U.S. actions against Iran, including assertions of control over the Strait of Hormuz and threats amid stalled diplomacy, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 76.5% probability to no repeat by August 31 because these invocations align with discrete escalatory moments rather than routine commentary, and no major new military, diplomatic, or Iran-related developments have emerged in the past several days to prompt another statement. The short resolution window further limits opportunities absent a sudden catalyst, reflecting the skin-in-the-game consensus on the phrase's conditional pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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