Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$28,942 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
70%
Steve Witkoff
73%
Abbas Araghchi
64%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
64%
J.D. Vance
38%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
37%
Nick Stewart
23%
Kazem Gharibabadi
19%
Rafael Grossi
23%
Marco Rubio
23%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
18%
Ahmad Vahidi
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Ishaq Dar
14%
Donald Trump
12%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Esmail Qaani
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
44%
$28,942 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$230 Vol.
70%
Steve Witkoff
$427 Vol.
73%
Abbas Araghchi
$411 Vol.
64%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$80 Vol.
64%
J.D. Vance
$873 Vol.
38%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 Vol.
37%
Nick Stewart
$106 Vol.
23%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$885 Vol.
19%
Rafael Grossi
$44 Vol.
23%
Marco Rubio
$40 Vol.
23%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$998 Vol.
18%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Vol.
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$939 Vol.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$932 Vol.
14%
Donald Trump
$59 Vol.
12%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,111 Vol.
5%
Esmail Qaani
$1,245 Vol.
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$40 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$28,942End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$28,942End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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