Recent polling averages and responses to administration policies have positioned Donald Trump's approval rating in the high 30s, producing the narrow clustering of trader probabilities across adjacent outcome bins. Short-term influences such as legislative votes, economic data releases, and foreign policy announcements continue to shape weekly fluctuations, sustaining the tight spread among the leading ranges. With resolution set for August 21, any incremental movement from key demographic shifts, media coverage of executive actions, or late developments could separate the final result into one bin. Historical approval rating volatility near similar levels indicates that even modest catalysts within the next week remain capable of altering the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 37%
38.5–38.9 35%
39.0+ 33%
<37.0 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<37.0
33%
37.0–37.4
33%
37.5–37.9
33%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
35%
39.0+
33%
38.0–38.4 37%
38.5–38.9 35%
39.0+ 33%
<37.0 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<37.0
$0 Vol.
33%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
33%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
33%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
37%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
35%
39.0+
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages and responses to administration policies have positioned Donald Trump's approval rating in the high 30s, producing the narrow clustering of trader probabilities across adjacent outcome bins. Short-term influences such as legislative votes, economic data releases, and foreign policy announcements continue to shape weekly fluctuations, sustaining the tight spread among the leading ranges. With resolution set for August 21, any incremental movement from key demographic shifts, media coverage of executive actions, or late developments could separate the final result into one bin. Historical approval rating volatility near similar levels indicates that even modest catalysts within the next week remain capable of altering the distribution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages and responses to administration policies have positioned Donald Trump's approval rating in the high 30s, producing the narrow clustering of trader probabilities across adjacent outcome bins. Short-term influences such as legislative votes, economic data releases, and foreign policy announcements continue to shape weekly fluctuations, sustaining the tight spread among the leading ranges. With resolution set for August 21, any incremental movement from key demographic shifts, media coverage of executive actions, or late developments could separate the final result into one bin. Historical approval rating volatility near similar levels indicates that even modest catalysts within the next week remain capable of altering the distribution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages and responses to administration policies have positioned Donald Trump's approval rating in the high 30s, producing the narrow clustering of trader probabilities across adjacent outcome bins. Short-term influences such as legislative votes, economic data releases, and foreign policy announcements continue to shape weekly fluctuations, sustaining the tight spread among the leading ranges. With resolution set for August 21, any incremental movement from key demographic shifts, media coverage of executive actions, or late developments could separate the final result into one bin. Historical approval rating volatility near similar levels indicates that even modest catalysts within the next week remain capable of altering the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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