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Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)

icon for Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)
Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)

Aug 15

Aug 22

Aug 15

Aug 22

NEW
Aug 17, 2026
Polymarket

$243 Vol.

Polymarket

August 17

$0 Vol.

74%

August 18

$0 Vol.

68%

August 19

$0 Vol.

41%

August 20

$21 Vol.

44%

August 21

$89 Vol.

56%

August 22

$133 Vol.

76%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).The White House press corps tracks "full lid" announcements as signals that no further public presidential events, statements, or announcements are expected for the day. In the week of August 17–22, 2026, trader focus centers on President Trump's post-Bedminster return to Washington, where recent schedules have featured extended executive time, closed-press policy sessions, and routine Oval Office activity with limited public appearances. Mid-August historically features lighter official calendars absent major legislative deadlines, summits, or crises, increasing the likelihood of earlier lids unless unscheduled developments arise. Any shift in travel plans, intelligence developments, or congressional activity could alter the pattern observed in prior days.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Volume
$243
End Date
Aug 22, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).The White House press corps tracks "full lid" announcements as signals that no further public presidential events, statements, or announcements are expected for the day. In the week of August 17–22, 2026, trader focus centers on President Trump's post-Bedminster return to Washington, where recent schedules have featured extended executive time, closed-press policy sessions, and routine Oval Office activity with limited public appearances. Mid-August historically features lighter official calendars absent major legislative deadlines, summits, or crises, increasing the likelihood of earlier lids unless unscheduled developments arise. Any shift in travel plans, intelligence developments, or congressional activity could alter the pattern observed in prior days.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Volume
$243
End Date
Aug 22, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 22" at 76%, followed by "August 17" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)" is "August 22" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 17" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 17 - August 22)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.