Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?
Politics·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?
Politics·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Sep 16

Sep 16

NEW
Sep 16, 2026
Polymarket

$270 Vol.

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$0 Vol.

43%

Inflation 20+ times

$0 Vol.

57%

Task Force 10+ times

$0 Vol.

46%

Good Day

$7 Vol.

88%

Good Afternoon

$0 Vol.

10%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$158 Vol.

86%

Labor Force

$0 Vol.

45%

Scenario

$0 Vol.

47%

Echo

$0 Vol.

45%

Software

$0 Vol.

45%

Pressure

$0 Vol.

45%

Luck / Lucky

$0 Vol.

45%

Dissent

$0 Vol.

22%

Trump

$0 Vol.

7%

Productivity

$0 Vol.

72%

Bet / Betting

$0 Vol.

54%

Projection

$0 Vol.

45%

Balance Sheet

$0 Vol.

80%

Pandemic

$2 Vol.

62%

Anchor / Anchored

$0 Vol.

26%

Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas

$0 Vol.

28%

-No Qualifying Event-

$104 Vol.

40%

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$270
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$270
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September?

Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September?

73%
icon for Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfing" or "Golfer" this week?

Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfing" or "Golfer" this week?

61%
icon for Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

6%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Good Day" at 88%, followed by "AI / Artificial Intelligence" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?" is "Good Day" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "AI / Artificial Intelligence" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.