**Elevated inflation and a resilient labor market continue to fuel expectations for significant dissent at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting.** July PCE readings showed headline inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and core at 3.3%, while the August employment report surprised to the upside with 162,000 nonfarm payrolls (versus 56,000 expected) and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate. These data points have reinforced hawkish views among regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting. With the policy rate held at 3.50-3.75% and next week’s CPI and PPI releases poised to influence the final decision, market-implied odds reflect a closely contested outlook centered on whether three or more members will again break from the majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
4+ 31%
3 29%
1 16%
2 16%
$13,971 Vol.
$13,971 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
0
11%
1
16%
2
16%
3
29%
4+
31%
4+ 31%
3 29%
1 16%
2 16%
$13,971 Vol.
$13,971 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
0
$9,144 Vol.
11%
1
$505 Vol.
16%
2
$585 Vol.
16%
3
$2,958 Vol.
29%
4+
$778 Vol.
31%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Elevated inflation and a resilient labor market continue to fuel expectations for significant dissent at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting.** July PCE readings showed headline inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and core at 3.3%, while the August employment report surprised to the upside with 162,000 nonfarm payrolls (versus 56,000 expected) and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate. These data points have reinforced hawkish views among regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting. With the policy rate held at 3.50-3.75% and next week’s CPI and PPI releases poised to influence the final decision, market-implied odds reflect a closely contested outlook centered on whether three or more members will again break from the majority.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$13,971End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Elevated inflation and a resilient labor market continue to fuel expectations for significant dissent at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting.** July PCE readings showed headline inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and core at 3.3%, while the August employment report surprised to the upside with 162,000 nonfarm payrolls (versus 56,000 expected) and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate. These data points have reinforced hawkish views among regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting. With the policy rate held at 3.50-3.75% and next week’s CPI and PPI releases poised to influence the final decision, market-implied odds reflect a closely contested outlook centered on whether three or more members will again break from the majority.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,971End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated inflation and a resilient labor market continue to fuel expectations for significant dissent at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting.** July PCE readings showed headline inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and core at 3.3%, while the August employment report surprised to the upside with 162,000 nonfarm payrolls (versus 56,000 expected) and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate. These data points have reinforced hawkish views among regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike at the July meeting. With the policy rate held at 3.50-3.75% and next week’s CPI and PPI releases poised to influence the final decision, market-implied odds reflect a closely contested outlook centered on whether three or more members will again break from the majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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