**Latest ensemble forecasts position the minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 1 near 25–26 °C**, with model consensus showing overnight lows around 24.5–26 °C amid expected cloud cover, easterly winds, and an 80 % chance of rain that limits radiative cooling. High humidity and moderate steering flow from the east further moderate extremes, keeping values above the 24 °C threshold while capping upside near 27 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, aligning with climatological September norms for the region. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration stations will determine the final recorded low, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 26 °C based on this guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
26°C 51%
27°C 26%
25°C 20%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
51%
27°C
26%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 26%
25°C 20%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
21°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$21 Vol.
1%
23°C
$40 Vol.
11%
24°C
$103 Vol.
6%
25°C
$88 Vol.
20%
26°C
$247 Vol.
51%
27°C
$336 Vol.
26%
28°C
$60 Vol.
4%
29°C
$21 Vol.
1%
30°C
$21 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts position the minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 1 near 25–26 °C**, with model consensus showing overnight lows around 24.5–26 °C amid expected cloud cover, easterly winds, and an 80 % chance of rain that limits radiative cooling. High humidity and moderate steering flow from the east further moderate extremes, keeping values above the 24 °C threshold while capping upside near 27 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, aligning with climatological September norms for the region. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration stations will determine the final recorded low, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 26 °C based on this guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$959End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts position the minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 1 near 25–26 °C**, with model consensus showing overnight lows around 24.5–26 °C amid expected cloud cover, easterly winds, and an 80 % chance of rain that limits radiative cooling. High humidity and moderate steering flow from the east further moderate extremes, keeping values above the 24 °C threshold while capping upside near 27 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, aligning with climatological September norms for the region. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration stations will determine the final recorded low, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 26 °C based on this guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$959End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts position the minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 1 near 25–26 °C**, with model consensus showing overnight lows around 24.5–26 °C amid expected cloud cover, easterly winds, and an 80 % chance of rain that limits radiative cooling. High humidity and moderate steering flow from the east further moderate extremes, keeping values above the 24 °C threshold while capping upside near 27 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, aligning with climatological September norms for the region. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration stations will determine the final recorded low, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 26 °C based on this guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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