**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 22–23°C due to model consensus and current conditions.** Persistent marine-influenced cloud cover and northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h have limited radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 21–23°C and humidity above 80% moderating temperature drops. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models (GFS, ECMWF) project a low of 22–24°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C for the coastal station. The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor divergences in urban heat retention versus precise station readings, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with limited cold-air advection. Hourly observations through dawn will resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
22°C 50%
21°C 25%
19°C or below 3%
20°C 1.0%
$920 Vol.
$920 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
25%
22°C
50%
23°C
51%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
21°C 25%
19°C or below 3%
20°C 1.0%
$920 Vol.
$920 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$170 Vol.
3%
20°C
$97 Vol.
1%
21°C
$106 Vol.
25%
22°C
$35 Vol.
50%
23°C
$16 Vol.
51%
24°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 22–23°C due to model consensus and current conditions.** Persistent marine-influenced cloud cover and northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h have limited radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 21–23°C and humidity above 80% moderating temperature drops. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models (GFS, ECMWF) project a low of 22–24°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C for the coastal station. The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor divergences in urban heat retention versus precise station readings, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with limited cold-air advection. Hourly observations through dawn will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$920End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 22–23°C due to model consensus and current conditions.** Persistent marine-influenced cloud cover and northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h have limited radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 21–23°C and humidity above 80% moderating temperature drops. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models (GFS, ECMWF) project a low of 22–24°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C for the coastal station. The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor divergences in urban heat retention versus precise station readings, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with limited cold-air advection. Hourly observations through dawn will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$920End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 22–23°C due to model consensus and current conditions.** Persistent marine-influenced cloud cover and northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h have limited radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 21–23°C and humidity above 80% moderating temperature drops. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models (GFS, ECMWF) project a low of 22–24°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C for the coastal station. The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor divergences in urban heat retention versus precise station readings, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with limited cold-air advection. Hourly observations through dawn will resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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