Recent official and model guidance for Qingdao on August 31 shows partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph moderating coastal humidity, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the most likely range. Current conditions on August 30 hover around 26–27°C under overcast skies, with ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicating modest daytime warming ahead of a frontal passage. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C reflects trader weighting of warmer model runs over cooler ones projecting 26–27°C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
31°C 49%
30°C 39%
29°C 9%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
39%
31°C
49%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 39%
29°C 9%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$389 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$288 Vol.
1%
28°C
$594 Vol.
3%
29°C
$826 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,196 Vol.
39%
31°C
$2,466 Vol.
49%
32°C
$388 Vol.
6%
33°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model guidance for Qingdao on August 31 shows partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph moderating coastal humidity, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the most likely range. Current conditions on August 30 hover around 26–27°C under overcast skies, with ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicating modest daytime warming ahead of a frontal passage. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C reflects trader weighting of warmer model runs over cooler ones projecting 26–27°C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,086End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model guidance for Qingdao on August 31 shows partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph moderating coastal humidity, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the most likely range. Current conditions on August 30 hover around 26–27°C under overcast skies, with ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicating modest daytime warming ahead of a frontal passage. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C reflects trader weighting of warmer model runs over cooler ones projecting 26–27°C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,086End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model guidance for Qingdao on August 31 shows partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph moderating coastal humidity, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the most likely range. Current conditions on August 30 hover around 26–27°C under overcast skies, with ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicating modest daytime warming ahead of a frontal passage. Historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C reflects trader weighting of warmer model runs over cooler ones projecting 26–27°C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine land-sea breeze and cloud impacts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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