Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
23°C 2%
22°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$1,529 Vol.
$1,529 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
-
25°C
51%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 2%
22°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$1,529 Vol.
$1,529 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$241 Vol.
1%
22°C
$57 Vol.
1%
23°C
$28 Vol.
2%
24°C
$81 Vol.
-
25°C
$10 Vol.
51%
26°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,529End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,529End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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