Recent National Weather Service observations confirm Denver’s overnight low reached 63°F on August 29, 2026, after a clear, calm morning that allowed efficient radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Forecasts issued the prior day projected minima of 60–64°F, with model spread driven by subtle differences in expected cloud cover, dew-point advection, and boundary-layer mixing from weak southeasterly flow. Above-normal warmth earlier in the month had elevated baseline temperatures, while any lingering moisture or increased winds from scattered thunderstorm activity could have limited further cooling. This narrow uncertainty band produced nearly even market-implied odds between the 60–61°F and 62–63°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of how small variations in nocturnal conditions would resolve the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 29?
62-63°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$2,272 Vol.
$2,272 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$2,272 Vol.
$2,272 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
$172 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$41 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$57 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$47 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$431 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$520 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$265 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$223 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$69 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$389 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$57 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations confirm Denver’s overnight low reached 63°F on August 29, 2026, after a clear, calm morning that allowed efficient radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Forecasts issued the prior day projected minima of 60–64°F, with model spread driven by subtle differences in expected cloud cover, dew-point advection, and boundary-layer mixing from weak southeasterly flow. Above-normal warmth earlier in the month had elevated baseline temperatures, while any lingering moisture or increased winds from scattered thunderstorm activity could have limited further cooling. This narrow uncertainty band produced nearly even market-implied odds between the 60–61°F and 62–63°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of how small variations in nocturnal conditions would resolve the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,272End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations confirm Denver’s overnight low reached 63°F on August 29, 2026, after a clear, calm morning that allowed efficient radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Forecasts issued the prior day projected minima of 60–64°F, with model spread driven by subtle differences in expected cloud cover, dew-point advection, and boundary-layer mixing from weak southeasterly flow. Above-normal warmth earlier in the month had elevated baseline temperatures, while any lingering moisture or increased winds from scattered thunderstorm activity could have limited further cooling. This narrow uncertainty band produced nearly even market-implied odds between the 60–61°F and 62–63°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of how small variations in nocturnal conditions would resolve the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,272End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service observations confirm Denver’s overnight low reached 63°F on August 29, 2026, after a clear, calm morning that allowed efficient radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Forecasts issued the prior day projected minima of 60–64°F, with model spread driven by subtle differences in expected cloud cover, dew-point advection, and boundary-layer mixing from weak southeasterly flow. Above-normal warmth earlier in the month had elevated baseline temperatures, while any lingering moisture or increased winds from scattered thunderstorm activity could have limited further cooling. This narrow uncertainty band produced nearly even market-implied odds between the 60–61°F and 62–63°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of how small variations in nocturnal conditions would resolve the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions