Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Monday high near 85°F for Denver, with a 50-60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty splits trader consensus between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, as convective timing and intensity determine whether the maximum occurs before or after storm development. Surface winds shifting southwest, combined with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s, support modest instability, while the climatological normal high of 84.5°F provides a baseline. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited day-to-day shifts, leaving the edge to bins near the forecast mean rather than higher or lower extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 31?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 31?
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
71°F or below
$597 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$396 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$144 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$453 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$279 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$611 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$274 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$55 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$192 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Monday high near 85°F for Denver, with a 50-60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty splits trader consensus between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, as convective timing and intensity determine whether the maximum occurs before or after storm development. Surface winds shifting southwest, combined with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s, support modest instability, while the climatological normal high of 84.5°F provides a baseline. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited day-to-day shifts, leaving the edge to bins near the forecast mean rather than higher or lower extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,155End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Monday high near 85°F for Denver, with a 50-60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty splits trader consensus between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, as convective timing and intensity determine whether the maximum occurs before or after storm development. Surface winds shifting southwest, combined with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s, support modest instability, while the climatological normal high of 84.5°F provides a baseline. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited day-to-day shifts, leaving the edge to bins near the forecast mean rather than higher or lower extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,155End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Monday high near 85°F for Denver, with a 50-60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty splits trader consensus between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, as convective timing and intensity determine whether the maximum occurs before or after storm development. Surface winds shifting southwest, combined with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s, support modest instability, while the climatological normal high of 84.5°F provides a baseline. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited day-to-day shifts, leaving the edge to bins near the forecast mean rather than higher or lower extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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