Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver project an overnight low of 56–62°F on August 30, with several guidance runs centering near 60°F amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and modest moisture. This aligns with the climatological average low of 55°F for the date and supports the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on 59°F or below. Numerical weather models show limited spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized drainage flows that could nudge readings a degree or two. A notable departure from model consensus—such as stronger radiational cooling under clearing skies—would be required to push the daily minimum above 60°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
59°F or below 99.6%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$2,017 Vol.
$2,017 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
59°F or below 99.6%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$2,017 Vol.
$2,017 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$406 Vol.
100%
60-61°F
$156 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$223 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$123 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$241 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$326 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$129 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$58 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver project an overnight low of 56–62°F on August 30, with several guidance runs centering near 60°F amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and modest moisture. This aligns with the climatological average low of 55°F for the date and supports the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on 59°F or below. Numerical weather models show limited spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized drainage flows that could nudge readings a degree or two. A notable departure from model consensus—such as stronger radiational cooling under clearing skies—would be required to push the daily minimum above 60°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,017End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver project an overnight low of 56–62°F on August 30, with several guidance runs centering near 60°F amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and modest moisture. This aligns with the climatological average low of 55°F for the date and supports the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on 59°F or below. Numerical weather models show limited spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized drainage flows that could nudge readings a degree or two. A notable departure from model consensus—such as stronger radiational cooling under clearing skies—would be required to push the daily minimum above 60°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,017End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver project an overnight low of 56–62°F on August 30, with several guidance runs centering near 60°F amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and modest moisture. This aligns with the climatological average low of 55°F for the date and supports the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on 59°F or below. Numerical weather models show limited spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized drainage flows that could nudge readings a degree or two. A notable departure from model consensus—such as stronger radiational cooling under clearing skies—would be required to push the daily minimum above 60°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions