Recent model consensus from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international forecasts points to a sharp nocturnal drop driven by clear skies, light winds, and advection of cooler polar air, supporting trader confidence that the daily minimum will reach 6°C or below. This aligns with typical late-August radiative cooling patterns in the Pampas region, where minimums often fall well below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. With the market near resolution on August 30, updated hourly observations from central stations will confirm the exact low, though revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection develops overnight. Traders' near-unanimous positioning reflects the strength of current numerical guidance and historical analogs for such setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
6°C or below 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,569 Vol.
$2,569 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,569 Vol.
$2,569 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$975 Vol.
100%
7°C
$264 Vol.
1%
8°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international forecasts points to a sharp nocturnal drop driven by clear skies, light winds, and advection of cooler polar air, supporting trader confidence that the daily minimum will reach 6°C or below. This aligns with typical late-August radiative cooling patterns in the Pampas region, where minimums often fall well below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. With the market near resolution on August 30, updated hourly observations from central stations will confirm the exact low, though revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection develops overnight. Traders' near-unanimous positioning reflects the strength of current numerical guidance and historical analogs for such setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,569End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international forecasts points to a sharp nocturnal drop driven by clear skies, light winds, and advection of cooler polar air, supporting trader confidence that the daily minimum will reach 6°C or below. This aligns with typical late-August radiative cooling patterns in the Pampas region, where minimums often fall well below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. With the market near resolution on August 30, updated hourly observations from central stations will confirm the exact low, though revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection develops overnight. Traders' near-unanimous positioning reflects the strength of current numerical guidance and historical analogs for such setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,569End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international forecasts points to a sharp nocturnal drop driven by clear skies, light winds, and advection of cooler polar air, supporting trader confidence that the daily minimum will reach 6°C or below. This aligns with typical late-August radiative cooling patterns in the Pampas region, where minimums often fall well below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. With the market near resolution on August 30, updated hourly observations from central stations will confirm the exact low, though revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection develops overnight. Traders' near-unanimous positioning reflects the strength of current numerical guidance and historical analogs for such setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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