Current forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires with a maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C and 22 °C, which together command over 85 % of trader probability. The implied odds reflect consensus across official guidance and ensemble runs showing modest warming above the long-term August average of roughly 18 °C, without significant model spread or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or suppress them below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 49%
22°C 42%
23°C or higher 7%
20°C 5%
$19,412 Vol.
$19,412 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
49%
22°C
42%
23°C or higher
7%
21°C 49%
22°C 42%
23°C or higher 7%
20°C 5%
$19,412 Vol.
$19,412 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$248 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,528 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,537 Vol.
5%
21°C
$3,931 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5,498 Vol.
42%
23°C or higher
$3,919 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires with a maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C and 22 °C, which together command over 85 % of trader probability. The implied odds reflect consensus across official guidance and ensemble runs showing modest warming above the long-term August average of roughly 18 °C, without significant model spread or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or suppress them below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$19,412End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires with a maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C and 22 °C, which together command over 85 % of trader probability. The implied odds reflect consensus across official guidance and ensemble runs showing modest warming above the long-term August average of roughly 18 °C, without significant model spread or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or suppress them below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,412End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires with a maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C and 22 °C, which together command over 85 % of trader probability. The implied odds reflect consensus across official guidance and ensemble runs showing modest warming above the long-term August average of roughly 18 °C, without significant model spread or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or suppress them below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions