**Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 18°C for Buenos Aires on August 31, driven by stable high pressure, light easterly winds off the Atlantic, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime warming.** This late-winter setup aligns with climatological norms of 16–18°C maxima, with recent observations showing mild conditions and no significant frontal systems or warm advection to push temperatures higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 19–20°C (over 75% combined), likely incorporates model spread and the potential for clearer skies or slight warming trends in updated runs, while downweighting cooler outcomes below 18°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, with low precipitation risk supporting steady but not exceptional heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
32%
20°C
44%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$99 Vol.
1%
17°C
$52 Vol.
3%
18°C
$322 Vol.
7%
19°C
$618 Vol.
32%
20°C
$806 Vol.
44%
21°C
$2,054 Vol.
13%
22°C
$449 Vol.
5%
23°C
$138 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$301 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 18°C for Buenos Aires on August 31, driven by stable high pressure, light easterly winds off the Atlantic, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime warming.** This late-winter setup aligns with climatological norms of 16–18°C maxima, with recent observations showing mild conditions and no significant frontal systems or warm advection to push temperatures higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 19–20°C (over 75% combined), likely incorporates model spread and the potential for clearer skies or slight warming trends in updated runs, while downweighting cooler outcomes below 18°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, with low precipitation risk supporting steady but not exceptional heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,316End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 18°C for Buenos Aires on August 31, driven by stable high pressure, light easterly winds off the Atlantic, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime warming.** This late-winter setup aligns with climatological norms of 16–18°C maxima, with recent observations showing mild conditions and no significant frontal systems or warm advection to push temperatures higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 19–20°C (over 75% combined), likely incorporates model spread and the potential for clearer skies or slight warming trends in updated runs, while downweighting cooler outcomes below 18°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, with low precipitation risk supporting steady but not exceptional heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,316End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 18°C for Buenos Aires on August 31, driven by stable high pressure, light easterly winds off the Atlantic, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime warming.** This late-winter setup aligns with climatological norms of 16–18°C maxima, with recent observations showing mild conditions and no significant frontal systems or warm advection to push temperatures higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 19–20°C (over 75% combined), likely incorporates model spread and the potential for clearer skies or slight warming trends in updated runs, while downweighting cooler outcomes below 18°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, with low precipitation risk supporting steady but not exceptional heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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