Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, show daytime maxima near 32°C amid the wet season's typical pattern of high humidity, scattered showers, and moderate trade winds that limit extreme heating. This aligns with historical August averages around 29°C while reflecting short-term model consensus favoring slight positive anomalies from afternoon solar exposure between rain bands. Trader positioning clusters on 31–33°C because official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes these thresholds as the most probable outcomes before evening cooling, with limited upside risk from stronger convection or cloudier conditions that could cap readings near 30°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow range without major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 4?
32°C 42%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
$11,786 Vol.
$11,786 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
42%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
$11,786 Vol.
$11,786 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
42%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, show daytime maxima near 32°C amid the wet season's typical pattern of high humidity, scattered showers, and moderate trade winds that limit extreme heating. This aligns with historical August averages around 29°C while reflecting short-term model consensus favoring slight positive anomalies from afternoon solar exposure between rain bands. Trader positioning clusters on 31–33°C because official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes these thresholds as the most probable outcomes before evening cooling, with limited upside risk from stronger convection or cloudier conditions that could cap readings near 30°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow range without major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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