Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Moscow's maximum temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology slightly elevated by persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover, following a notably warm July and a record May heatwave that set a 30.5 °C benchmark. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk to 31 °C if daytime heating strengthens, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability absent a rapid frontal passage. Official updates from agencies such as Roshydromet over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak and directly influence trader adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$525 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$470 Vol.
1%
26°C
$716 Vol.
2%
27°C
$363 Vol.
3%
28°C
$154 Vol.
8%
29°C
$630 Vol.
23%
30°C
$761 Vol.
46%
31°C
$799 Vol.
20%
32°C
$190 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$168 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Moscow's maximum temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology slightly elevated by persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover, following a notably warm July and a record May heatwave that set a 30.5 °C benchmark. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk to 31 °C if daytime heating strengthens, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability absent a rapid frontal passage. Official updates from agencies such as Roshydromet over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak and directly influence trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,281End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Moscow's maximum temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology slightly elevated by persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover, following a notably warm July and a record May heatwave that set a 30.5 °C benchmark. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk to 31 °C if daytime heating strengthens, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability absent a rapid frontal passage. Official updates from agencies such as Roshydromet over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak and directly influence trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,281End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Moscow's maximum temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology slightly elevated by persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover, following a notably warm July and a record May heatwave that set a 30.5 °C benchmark. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk to 31 °C if daytime heating strengthens, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability absent a rapid frontal passage. Official updates from agencies such as Roshydromet over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak and directly influence trader adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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