Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 2, with clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong solar heating under a subtropical ridge supporting daytime maxima near 33–35°C. Long-term August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies from reduced cloud cover and stable high pressure. The 35°C bin leads at 58.5% implied probability because multiple runs cluster there, while 34°C and 36°C capture the uncertainty range typical of 1–2°C model spread at this lead time. No significant moisture advection or sea-breeze strengthening is expected to moderate temperatures, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact peak-hour observation from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
35°C 59%
36°C 18%
34°C 17%
37°C 3%
NEW
$10,307 Vol.
NEW
$10,307 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
17%
35°C
59%
36°C
18%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 59%
36°C 18%
34°C 17%
37°C 3%
NEW
$10,307 Vol.
NEW
$10,307 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$715 Vol.
2%
34°C
$3,682 Vol.
17%
35°C
$2,040 Vol.
59%
36°C
$1,011 Vol.
18%
37°C
$459 Vol.
3%
38°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 2, with clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong solar heating under a subtropical ridge supporting daytime maxima near 33–35°C. Long-term August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies from reduced cloud cover and stable high pressure. The 35°C bin leads at 58.5% implied probability because multiple runs cluster there, while 34°C and 36°C capture the uncertainty range typical of 1–2°C model spread at this lead time. No significant moisture advection or sea-breeze strengthening is expected to moderate temperatures, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact peak-hour observation from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,307End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 2, with clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong solar heating under a subtropical ridge supporting daytime maxima near 33–35°C. Long-term August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies from reduced cloud cover and stable high pressure. The 35°C bin leads at 58.5% implied probability because multiple runs cluster there, while 34°C and 36°C capture the uncertainty range typical of 1–2°C model spread at this lead time. No significant moisture advection or sea-breeze strengthening is expected to moderate temperatures, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact peak-hour observation from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,307End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 2, with clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong solar heating under a subtropical ridge supporting daytime maxima near 33–35°C. Long-term August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies from reduced cloud cover and stable high pressure. The 35°C bin leads at 58.5% implied probability because multiple runs cluster there, while 34°C and 36°C capture the uncertainty range typical of 1–2°C model spread at this lead time. No significant moisture advection or sea-breeze strengthening is expected to moderate temperatures, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact peak-hour observation from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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