Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid an ongoing heat wave driven by subtropical high pressure and typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean provide key moderation, preventing the extreme inland peaks of 45°C+ while supporting highs slightly above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Recent model runs and observational data from regional monitoring show consistent guidance in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from further intensification or downside from stronger onshore flow. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as the probability mass clusters tightly around the 34–35°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
35°C 55%
34°C 32%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
$24,036 Vol.
$24,036 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
32%
35°C
55%
36°C
11%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 55%
34°C 32%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
$24,036 Vol.
$24,036 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$896 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,424 Vol.
7%
34°C
$7,422 Vol.
32%
35°C
$3,924 Vol.
55%
36°C
$2,418 Vol.
11%
37°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid an ongoing heat wave driven by subtropical high pressure and typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean provide key moderation, preventing the extreme inland peaks of 45°C+ while supporting highs slightly above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Recent model runs and observational data from regional monitoring show consistent guidance in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from further intensification or downside from stronger onshore flow. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as the probability mass clusters tightly around the 34–35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,036End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid an ongoing heat wave driven by subtropical high pressure and typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean provide key moderation, preventing the extreme inland peaks of 45°C+ while supporting highs slightly above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Recent model runs and observational data from regional monitoring show consistent guidance in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from further intensification or downside from stronger onshore flow. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as the probability mass clusters tightly around the 34–35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,036End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid an ongoing heat wave driven by subtropical high pressure and typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean provide key moderation, preventing the extreme inland peaks of 45°C+ while supporting highs slightly above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Recent model runs and observational data from regional monitoring show consistent guidance in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from further intensification or downside from stronger onshore flow. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as the probability mass clusters tightly around the 34–35°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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