Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
27°C 72%
26°C 22%
28°C 6%
29°C 2%
$13,290 Vol.
$13,290 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
22%
27°C
72%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 72%
26°C 22%
28°C 6%
29°C 2%
$13,290 Vol.
$13,290 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$747 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,980 Vol.
22%
27°C
$4,553 Vol.
72%
28°C
$2,584 Vol.
6%
29°C
$985 Vol.
2%
30°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$13,290End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,290End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 27°C as the day's peak at Istanbul Airport reflects typical early-August climatology in the city's Mediterranean regime, where average daily highs hover near 28°C amid moderating Black Sea and Marmara breezes. Current forecast guidance and model consensus point to stable high pressure supporting a maximum in the 26–27°C range, with limited potential for brief spikes to 28°C under clear skies. Historical NOAA records for the site show early-August maxima clustering around these values absent anomalous heat advection, and no recent shifts in sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns have altered that baseline. Resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with updates from monitoring agencies expected to confirm the outcome by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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