Latest forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime high of 26–28 °C in Moscow on August 1 under broken clouds and light northerly flow, positioning 27 °C as the clear market leader. This aligns with current observational trends showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 22 °C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs converging on peak values near 27 °C by afternoon, while surface observations through the morning confirm steady warming consistent with these projections. Resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service readings, and any late-day convective development could cap the maximum slightly lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 55%
28°C 16%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
$23,763 Vol.
$23,763 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
55%
28°C
16%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 55%
28°C 16%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
$23,763 Vol.
$23,763 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$728 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$898 Vol.
3%
26°C
$2,597 Vol.
15%
27°C
$3,499 Vol.
55%
28°C
$3,180 Vol.
16%
29°C
$7,216 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$2,423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime high of 26–28 °C in Moscow on August 1 under broken clouds and light northerly flow, positioning 27 °C as the clear market leader. This aligns with current observational trends showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 22 °C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs converging on peak values near 27 °C by afternoon, while surface observations through the morning confirm steady warming consistent with these projections. Resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service readings, and any late-day convective development could cap the maximum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$23,763End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime high of 26–28 °C in Moscow on August 1 under broken clouds and light northerly flow, positioning 27 °C as the clear market leader. This aligns with current observational trends showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 22 °C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs converging on peak values near 27 °C by afternoon, while surface observations through the morning confirm steady warming consistent with these projections. Resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service readings, and any late-day convective development could cap the maximum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,763End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime high of 26–28 °C in Moscow on August 1 under broken clouds and light northerly flow, positioning 27 °C as the clear market leader. This aligns with current observational trends showing temperatures several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 22 °C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs converging on peak values near 27 °C by afternoon, while surface observations through the morning confirm steady warming consistent with these projections. Resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service readings, and any late-day convective development could cap the maximum slightly lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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