**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$28,317 Vol.
$28,317 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$28,317 Vol.
$28,317 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,400 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,964 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,158 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,317End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,317End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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