Strong seasonal patterns and current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies underpin the market's near-certain positioning on a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan. August climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C, with frequent peaks above 35°C driven by intense solar heating, high humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence over eastern China. Official model guidance for August 8 projects a range of 27–34°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, aligning with recent observations near 32–33°C. This evidence from extended-range ensembles and historical baselines leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unprecedented late-summer cold surge or major model error could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 8?
26°C or higher 100.0%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$8,911 Vol.
$8,911 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$8,911 Vol.
$8,911 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
16°C or below
$1,751 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$736 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,576 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$678 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,172 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal patterns and current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies underpin the market's near-certain positioning on a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan. August climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C, with frequent peaks above 35°C driven by intense solar heating, high humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence over eastern China. Official model guidance for August 8 projects a range of 27–34°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, aligning with recent observations near 32–33°C. This evidence from extended-range ensembles and historical baselines leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unprecedented late-summer cold surge or major model error could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$8,911End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal patterns and current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies underpin the market's near-certain positioning on a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan. August climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C, with frequent peaks above 35°C driven by intense solar heating, high humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence over eastern China. Official model guidance for August 8 projects a range of 27–34°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, aligning with recent observations near 32–33°C. This evidence from extended-range ensembles and historical baselines leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unprecedented late-summer cold surge or major model error could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,911End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong seasonal patterns and current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies underpin the market's near-certain positioning on a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan. August climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C, with frequent peaks above 35°C driven by intense solar heating, high humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence over eastern China. Official model guidance for August 8 projects a range of 27–34°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, aligning with recent observations near 32–33°C. This evidence from extended-range ensembles and historical baselines leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unprecedented late-summer cold surge or major model error could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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