Trump’s Truth Social activity as president has consistently averaged 18–20 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, with spikes reaching 27+ posts daily during May amid sustained focus on foreign policy, political grievances, and domestic issues. Recent data through mid-2026 shows elevated volume during periods of active legislation, international developments, and late-night posting windows. The new Truth API service launched August 1 has drawn attention to post timing but has not altered output patterns. With a full week ahead that includes routine White House communications and potential market-moving statements, traders assign the highest probability to the 200+ range, reflecting observed weekly totals that frequently exceed 140–180 posts when activity remains steady. Lower brackets trail as historical baselines and recent months demonstrate fewer extended low-volume stretches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 24%
160-179 16%
180-199 16%
100-119 14%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
3%
80-99
5%
100-119
14%
120-139
14%
140-159
7%
160-179
16%
180-199
16%
200+
24%
200+ 24%
160-179 16%
180-199 16%
100-119 14%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
3%
80-99
5%
100-119
14%
120-139
14%
140-159
7%
160-179
16%
180-199
16%
200+
24%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s Truth Social activity as president has consistently averaged 18–20 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, with spikes reaching 27+ posts daily during May amid sustained focus on foreign policy, political grievances, and domestic issues. Recent data through mid-2026 shows elevated volume during periods of active legislation, international developments, and late-night posting windows. The new Truth API service launched August 1 has drawn attention to post timing but has not altered output patterns. With a full week ahead that includes routine White House communications and potential market-moving statements, traders assign the highest probability to the 200+ range, reflecting observed weekly totals that frequently exceed 140–180 posts when activity remains steady. Lower brackets trail as historical baselines and recent months demonstrate fewer extended low-volume stretches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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