**Trader sentiment for Donald Trump's Truth Social post volume between August 14 and August 21, 2026, reflects historical patterns of high but variable activity, with recent data showing daily averages ranging from roughly 18 posts in 2025 to peaks exceeding 27 per day in May 2026.** Analyses of full months indicate totals often falling between 500 and 860 posts, translating to weekly figures clustered in the 120–200+ range that dominate current market probabilities. The closely matched top outcomes (200+, 140–159, 100–119, and 160–179) highlight uncertainty around short-term fluctuations driven by news cycles, scheduled remarks, or policy announcements rather than any sustained shift in baseline habits. Broader platform trends, such as declining traffic to Truth Social this summer, have not altered posting frequency in available records, while the early-August launch of paid early-access feeds has not yet produced measurable effects on output. Separation among buckets would likely require verifiable catalysts within the window—such as major diplomatic statements, economic policy updates, or extended quiet periods—that push daily volume consistently above or below recent norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 20%
140-159 18%
160-179 16%
180-199 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
13%
120-139
13%
140-159
18%
160-179
16%
180-199
14%
200+
20%
200+ 20%
140-159 18%
160-179 16%
180-199 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<20
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$122 Vol.
1%
40-59
$122 Vol.
1%
60-79
$80 Vol.
1%
80-99
$50 Vol.
4%
100-119
$363 Vol.
13%
120-139
$103 Vol.
13%
140-159
$97 Vol.
18%
160-179
$126 Vol.
16%
180-199
$176 Vol.
14%
200+
$415 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Donald Trump's Truth Social post volume between August 14 and August 21, 2026, reflects historical patterns of high but variable activity, with recent data showing daily averages ranging from roughly 18 posts in 2025 to peaks exceeding 27 per day in May 2026.**
Analyses of full months indicate totals often falling between 500 and 860 posts, translating to weekly figures clustered in the 120–200+ range that dominate current market probabilities. The closely matched top outcomes (200+, 140–159, 100–119, and 160–179) highlight uncertainty around short-term fluctuations driven by news cycles, scheduled remarks, or policy announcements rather than any sustained shift in baseline habits.
Broader platform trends, such as declining traffic to Truth Social this summer, have not altered posting frequency in available records, while the early-August launch of paid early-access feeds has not yet produced measurable effects on output. Separation among buckets would likely require verifiable catalysts within the window—such as major diplomatic statements, economic policy updates, or extended quiet periods—that push daily volume consistently above or below recent norms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,748End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Donald Trump's Truth Social post volume between August 14 and August 21, 2026, reflects historical patterns of high but variable activity, with recent data showing daily averages ranging from roughly 18 posts in 2025 to peaks exceeding 27 per day in May 2026.**
Analyses of full months indicate totals often falling between 500 and 860 posts, translating to weekly figures clustered in the 120–200+ range that dominate current market probabilities. The closely matched top outcomes (200+, 140–159, 100–119, and 160–179) highlight uncertainty around short-term fluctuations driven by news cycles, scheduled remarks, or policy announcements rather than any sustained shift in baseline habits.
Broader platform trends, such as declining traffic to Truth Social this summer, have not altered posting frequency in available records, while the early-August launch of paid early-access feeds has not yet produced measurable effects on output. Separation among buckets would likely require verifiable catalysts within the window—such as major diplomatic statements, economic policy updates, or extended quiet periods—that push daily volume consistently above or below recent norms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,748End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Donald Trump's Truth Social post volume between August 14 and August 21, 2026, reflects historical patterns of high but variable activity, with recent data showing daily averages ranging from roughly 18 posts in 2025 to peaks exceeding 27 per day in May 2026.** Analyses of full months indicate totals often falling between 500 and 860 posts, translating to weekly figures clustered in the 120–200+ range that dominate current market probabilities. The closely matched top outcomes (200+, 140–159, 100–119, and 160–179) highlight uncertainty around short-term fluctuations driven by news cycles, scheduled remarks, or policy announcements rather than any sustained shift in baseline habits. Broader platform trends, such as declining traffic to Truth Social this summer, have not altered posting frequency in available records, while the early-August launch of paid early-access feeds has not yet produced measurable effects on output. Separation among buckets would likely require verifiable catalysts within the window—such as major diplomatic statements, economic policy updates, or extended quiet periods—that push daily volume consistently above or below recent norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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