Alabama's congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court in June 2026 after earlier litigation under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, structures the 2026 House contests and limits Democratic opportunities outside the solidly Democratic Seventh District. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the other six districts as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on factors such as candidate recruitment and performance in the Second District, voter turnout dynamics in a midterm cycle, and any late shifts in the national environment that could influence margins. Developments including results from the August 2026 special primaries, primary challenges, or polling trends in battleground districts could widen separation among the 0-, 1-, and 2-seat outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0 41%
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This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Alabama's congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court in June 2026 after earlier litigation under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, structures the 2026 House contests and limits Democratic opportunities outside the solidly Democratic Seventh District. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the other six districts as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on factors such as candidate recruitment and performance in the Second District, voter turnout dynamics in a midterm cycle, and any late shifts in the national environment that could influence margins. Developments including results from the August 2026 special primaries, primary challenges, or polling trends in battleground districts could widen separation among the 0-, 1-, and 2-seat outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Alabama's congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court in June 2026 after earlier litigation under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, structures the 2026 House contests and limits Democratic opportunities outside the solidly Democratic Seventh District. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the other six districts as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on factors such as candidate recruitment and performance in the Second District, voter turnout dynamics in a midterm cycle, and any late shifts in the national environment that could influence margins. Developments including results from the August 2026 special primaries, primary challenges, or polling trends in battleground districts could widen separation among the 0-, 1-, and 2-seat outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$21End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alabama's congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court in June 2026 after earlier litigation under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, structures the 2026 House contests and limits Democratic opportunities outside the solidly Democratic Seventh District. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the other six districts as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on factors such as candidate recruitment and performance in the Second District, voter turnout dynamics in a midterm cycle, and any late shifts in the national environment that could influence margins. Developments including results from the August 2026 special primaries, primary challenges, or polling trends in battleground districts could widen separation among the 0-, 1-, and 2-seat outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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