Trader consensus prices no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 60 percent, driven by the lack of confirmed bilateral summits and ongoing diplomatic frictions tied to the Ukraine conflict and sanctions policy. China leads location-specific outcomes at 35 percent, reflecting its established role as a neutral venue for major-power engagements and recent patterns of hosting high-level talks. Much lower probabilities for the United States, Turkey, or Gulf states stem from security logistics, domestic political calendars, and Putin's historical preferences for third-country sites. Scheduled events such as G20 or bilateral announcements within the remaining months could still shift these assessments before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 35%
United States 3.9%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
60%
China
35%
United States
4%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Gulf country
1%
Russia
1%
Other EU country
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 35%
United States 3.9%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$102,464 Vol.
60%
China
$63,930 Vol.
35%
United States
$25,765 Vol.
4%
Other
$18,160 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$25,145 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$17,282 Vol.
1%
Russia
$66,497 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$20,695 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 60 percent, driven by the lack of confirmed bilateral summits and ongoing diplomatic frictions tied to the Ukraine conflict and sanctions policy. China leads location-specific outcomes at 35 percent, reflecting its established role as a neutral venue for major-power engagements and recent patterns of hosting high-level talks. Much lower probabilities for the United States, Turkey, or Gulf states stem from security logistics, domestic political calendars, and Putin's historical preferences for third-country sites. Scheduled events such as G20 or bilateral announcements within the remaining months could still shift these assessments before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$498,369End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 60 percent, driven by the lack of confirmed bilateral summits and ongoing diplomatic frictions tied to the Ukraine conflict and sanctions policy. China leads location-specific outcomes at 35 percent, reflecting its established role as a neutral venue for major-power engagements and recent patterns of hosting high-level talks. Much lower probabilities for the United States, Turkey, or Gulf states stem from security logistics, domestic political calendars, and Putin's historical preferences for third-country sites. Scheduled events such as G20 or bilateral announcements within the remaining months could still shift these assessments before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$498,369End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 60 percent, driven by the lack of confirmed bilateral summits and ongoing diplomatic frictions tied to the Ukraine conflict and sanctions policy. China leads location-specific outcomes at 35 percent, reflecting its established role as a neutral venue for major-power engagements and recent patterns of hosting high-level talks. Much lower probabilities for the United States, Turkey, or Gulf states stem from security logistics, domestic political calendars, and Putin's historical preferences for third-country sites. Scheduled events such as G20 or bilateral announcements within the remaining months could still shift these assessments before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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