Trump's Truth Social activity as president reflects his established pattern of using the platform for frequent policy announcements, responses to news cycles, and direct messaging, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts daily but notable spikes into dozens or over 100 on high-activity days. Traders price 200-plus posts for the August 14-21 window at 64.5 percent because recent weeks have featured sustained volume amid ongoing governance, legislative developments, and market-moving statements, consistent with historical bursts rather than the lower weekly baseline near 126. The mid-August period includes no major scheduled events expected to suppress output, while the platform's role in real-time communication continues to support elevated posting regardless of separate controversies over data access services. Market pricing incorporates this variability and the president's consistent reliance on the channel for official updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 65%
180-199 23%
160-179 14%
140-159 1.5%
$31,819 Vol.
$31,819 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
2%
160-179
14%
180-199
23%
200+
65%
200+ 65%
180-199 23%
160-179 14%
140-159 1.5%
$31,819 Vol.
$31,819 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
60-79
$8,153 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,611 Vol.
1%
120-139
$1,868 Vol.
1%
140-159
$2,481 Vol.
2%
160-179
$2,085 Vol.
14%
180-199
$1,850 Vol.
23%
200+
$2,860 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity as president reflects his established pattern of using the platform for frequent policy announcements, responses to news cycles, and direct messaging, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts daily but notable spikes into dozens or over 100 on high-activity days. Traders price 200-plus posts for the August 14-21 window at 64.5 percent because recent weeks have featured sustained volume amid ongoing governance, legislative developments, and market-moving statements, consistent with historical bursts rather than the lower weekly baseline near 126. The mid-August period includes no major scheduled events expected to suppress output, while the platform's role in real-time communication continues to support elevated posting regardless of separate controversies over data access services. Market pricing incorporates this variability and the president's consistent reliance on the channel for official updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$31,819End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity as president reflects his established pattern of using the platform for frequent policy announcements, responses to news cycles, and direct messaging, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts daily but notable spikes into dozens or over 100 on high-activity days. Traders price 200-plus posts for the August 14-21 window at 64.5 percent because recent weeks have featured sustained volume amid ongoing governance, legislative developments, and market-moving statements, consistent with historical bursts rather than the lower weekly baseline near 126. The mid-August period includes no major scheduled events expected to suppress output, while the platform's role in real-time communication continues to support elevated posting regardless of separate controversies over data access services. Market pricing incorporates this variability and the president's consistent reliance on the channel for official updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$31,819End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity as president reflects his established pattern of using the platform for frequent policy announcements, responses to news cycles, and direct messaging, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts daily but notable spikes into dozens or over 100 on high-activity days. Traders price 200-plus posts for the August 14-21 window at 64.5 percent because recent weeks have featured sustained volume amid ongoing governance, legislative developments, and market-moving statements, consistent with historical bursts rather than the lower weekly baseline near 126. The mid-August period includes no major scheduled events expected to suppress output, while the platform's role in real-time communication continues to support elevated posting regardless of separate controversies over data access services. Market pricing incorporates this variability and the president's consistent reliance on the channel for official updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions