Short-term forecast uncertainty from the UK Met Office and ECMWF ensembles drives the closely matched odds, with traders weighing potential mild Atlantic air masses against cooler northerly flows over London. Current high-pressure setups and limited cloud cover support temperatures near or above 20°C, yet model spreads highlight risks of overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies that could dip lows toward 17°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical minima around 14–16°C, but jet stream positioning and any late-week frontal passages remain key variables. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 26 resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 26. August?
17°C 41%
18°C 31%
19°C 27%
15°C 21%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
14%
13°C
17%
14°C
19%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
41%
18°C
31%
19°C
27%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
17°C 41%
18°C 31%
19°C 27%
15°C 21%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
17%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$8 Vol.
41%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from the UK Met Office and ECMWF ensembles drives the closely matched odds, with traders weighing potential mild Atlantic air masses against cooler northerly flows over London. Current high-pressure setups and limited cloud cover support temperatures near or above 20°C, yet model spreads highlight risks of overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies that could dip lows toward 17°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical minima around 14–16°C, but jet stream positioning and any late-week frontal passages remain key variables. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 26 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$8Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from the UK Met Office and ECMWF ensembles drives the closely matched odds, with traders weighing potential mild Atlantic air masses against cooler northerly flows over London. Current high-pressure setups and limited cloud cover support temperatures near or above 20°C, yet model spreads highlight risks of overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies that could dip lows toward 17°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical minima around 14–16°C, but jet stream positioning and any late-week frontal passages remain key variables. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 26 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty from the UK Met Office and ECMWF ensembles drives the closely matched odds, with traders weighing potential mild Atlantic air masses against cooler northerly flows over London. Current high-pressure setups and limited cloud cover support temperatures near or above 20°C, yet model spreads highlight risks of overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies that could dip lows toward 17°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical minima around 14–16°C, but jet stream positioning and any late-week frontal passages remain key variables. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 26 resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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