Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a 26°C peak for London on August 26, with limited spread across 25–27°C driven by the precise timing of any showers and variable cloud cover that could suppress afternoon heating. Persistent mild southwesterly flow and above-average seasonal warmth keep the upper end of the distribution viable if skies clear earlier, while light winds and modest instability favor the lower end if convective activity develops. Historical late-August maxima in the region cluster near 22–24°C, underscoring how current conditions elevate the probability mass around the market’s leading brackets without locking in a single outcome until final observational data from London City Airport are recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 26. August?
26°C 25%
27°C 22%
25°C 20%
24°C 12%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 25%
27°C 22%
25°C 20%
24°C 12%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$87 Vol.
6%
24°C
$25 Vol.
12%
25°C
$226 Vol.
20%
26°C
$479 Vol.
25%
27°C
$199 Vol.
22%
28°C
$55 Vol.
11%
29°C
$190 Vol.
5%
30°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a 26°C peak for London on August 26, with limited spread across 25–27°C driven by the precise timing of any showers and variable cloud cover that could suppress afternoon heating. Persistent mild southwesterly flow and above-average seasonal warmth keep the upper end of the distribution viable if skies clear earlier, while light winds and modest instability favor the lower end if convective activity develops. Historical late-August maxima in the region cluster near 22–24°C, underscoring how current conditions elevate the probability mass around the market’s leading brackets without locking in a single outcome until final observational data from London City Airport are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,279Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a 26°C peak for London on August 26, with limited spread across 25–27°C driven by the precise timing of any showers and variable cloud cover that could suppress afternoon heating. Persistent mild southwesterly flow and above-average seasonal warmth keep the upper end of the distribution viable if skies clear earlier, while light winds and modest instability favor the lower end if convective activity develops. Historical late-August maxima in the region cluster near 22–24°C, underscoring how current conditions elevate the probability mass around the market’s leading brackets without locking in a single outcome until final observational data from London City Airport are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,279Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a 26°C peak for London on August 26, with limited spread across 25–27°C driven by the precise timing of any showers and variable cloud cover that could suppress afternoon heating. Persistent mild southwesterly flow and above-average seasonal warmth keep the upper end of the distribution viable if skies clear earlier, while light winds and modest instability favor the lower end if convective activity develops. Historical late-August maxima in the region cluster near 22–24°C, underscoring how current conditions elevate the probability mass around the market’s leading brackets without locking in a single outcome until final observational data from London City Airport are recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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