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icon for Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?

Aug. 24

Aug. 25

Aug. 26

Aug. 24

Aug. 25

Aug. 26

29°C 43%

30°C 24%

28°C 21%

31°C 9%

Polymarket
NEU

29°C 43%

30°C 24%

28°C 21%

31°C 9%

Polymarket
NEU

25°C or below

$5 Vol.

2%

26°C

$40 Vol.

7%

27°C

$0 Vol.

8%

28°C

$0 Vol.

21%

29°C

$14 Vol.

43%

30°C

$36 Vol.

24%

31°C

$0 Vol.

9%

32°C

$12 Vol.

8%

33°C

$5 Vol.

4%

34°C

$0 Vol.

4%

35°C or higher

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds, while timeanddate.com indicates 29–30°C amid cloudy skies. These align with a broader late-August cooling trend as seasonal highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32–33°C, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and increasing Atlantic influence. Model consensus places the daily maximum firmly in the 28–30°C range, with low precipitation risk and minimal diurnal variability expected. Trader positioning favoring 29°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability around late-summer climatology, while lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 27°C and below account for potential model shifts in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as AEMET or ECMWF.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$90
Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds, while timeanddate.com indicates 29–30°C amid cloudy skies. These align with a broader late-August cooling trend as seasonal highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32–33°C, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and increasing Atlantic influence. Model consensus places the daily maximum firmly in the 28–30°C range, with low precipitation risk and minimal diurnal variability expected. Trader positioning favoring 29°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability around late-summer climatology, while lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 27°C and below account for potential model shifts in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as AEMET or ECMWF.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$90
Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?

46%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 24?

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 24?

56%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on August 26?

Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on August 26?

35%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „29°C" mit 43%, gefolgt von „30°C" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 43¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 24, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?" ist „29°C" mit 43%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30°C" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 26. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.