The tight contest for fourth place in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election stems from shifting support among the main systemic opposition parties ahead of the vote. Recent polls show New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF for mid-tier positions, while A Just Russia trails further back, reflecting voter preferences in a low-competition environment. Yabloko's exclusion from the ballot after its August appeal rejection has redistributed potential anti-establishment votes without altering the core ordering among registered parties. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with no single contender holding a decisive edge amid stable United Russia dominance and limited last-minute campaign shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新人民党（NL） 45%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 36%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理（SRZP） 10%
Rodina 2.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
新人民党（NL）
45%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
36%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理（SRZP）
9%
Rodina
3%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
2%
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
新人民党（NL） 45%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 36%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理（SRZP） 10%
Rodina 2.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
新人民党（NL）
$1,624 交易量
45%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$352 交易量
36%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理（SRZP）
$475 交易量
9%
Rodina
$83 交易量
3%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$217 交易量
2%
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$187 交易量
1%
公民平台（GP）
$590 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The tight contest for fourth place in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election stems from shifting support among the main systemic opposition parties ahead of the vote. Recent polls show New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF for mid-tier positions, while A Just Russia trails further back, reflecting voter preferences in a low-competition environment. Yabloko's exclusion from the ballot after its August appeal rejection has redistributed potential anti-establishment votes without altering the core ordering among registered parties. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with no single contender holding a decisive edge amid stable United Russia dominance and limited last-minute campaign shifts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,529结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The tight contest for fourth place in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election stems from shifting support among the main systemic opposition parties ahead of the vote. Recent polls show New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF for mid-tier positions, while A Just Russia trails further back, reflecting voter preferences in a low-competition environment. Yabloko's exclusion from the ballot after its August appeal rejection has redistributed potential anti-establishment votes without altering the core ordering among registered parties. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with no single contender holding a decisive edge amid stable United Russia dominance and limited last-minute campaign shifts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,529结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETThe tight contest for fourth place in Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election stems from shifting support among the main systemic opposition parties ahead of the vote. Recent polls show New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF for mid-tier positions, while A Just Russia trails further back, reflecting voter preferences in a low-competition environment. Yabloko's exclusion from the ballot after its August appeal rejection has redistributed potential anti-establishment votes without altering the core ordering among registered parties. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with no single contender holding a decisive edge amid stable United Russia dominance and limited last-minute campaign shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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