United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 73%
新人民党（NL） 19.3%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.4%
$20,695,846 交易量
$20,695,846 交易量
2026-09-29
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
73%
新人民党（NL）
19%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
<1%
雅布洛科
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 73%
新人民党（NL） 19.3%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.4%
$20,695,846 交易量
$20,695,846 交易量
2026-09-29
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$7,389,007 交易量
73%
新人民党（NL）
$2,158,958 交易量
19%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,240,557 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$1,356,840 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$2,492,464 交易量
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$1,557,131 交易量
<1%
雅布洛科
$1,225,827 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$1,275,063 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$20,695,846结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$20,695,846结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority, extensive regional organizational strength, and preferential access to federal media and administrative resources. Preparations by the Presidential Administration, including adjusted turnout and support targets amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, underscore expectations of continued dominance despite some polling softness. New People has drawn secondary attention as a registered alternative with modest recent regional visibility, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties face structural barriers to surpassing the leader. The three-day voting format and limited independent polling variation further reinforce the implied probability that United Russia will secure the largest seat total.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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