Recent polling averages position the SPD firmly in second place behind the AfD ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with the Social Democrats holding 28-29% support compared to the AfD’s 35-36%. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and modest recent gains by the SPD have reinforced this positioning, while the CDU remains near 9-10%, Die Linke around 11-12%, and smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the 5% threshold. These stable trends across multiple surveys explain trader consensus favoring the SPD for second place, with limited movement in the final weeks before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SPD 84%
德国选择党 13.6%
基民盟 2.9%
Linke 2.7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
SPD
84%
德国选择党
14%
基民盟
3%
Linke
3%
格林党
2%
BSW
2%
FW
1%
自民党
1%
SPD 84%
德国选择党 13.6%
基民盟 2.9%
Linke 2.7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
SPD
$869 交易量
84%
德国选择党
$436 交易量
14%
基民盟
$203 交易量
3%
Linke
$215 交易量
3%
格林党
$207 交易量
2%
BSW
$170 交易量
2%
FW
$147 交易量
1%
自民党
$352 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages position the SPD firmly in second place behind the AfD ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with the Social Democrats holding 28-29% support compared to the AfD’s 35-36%. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and modest recent gains by the SPD have reinforced this positioning, while the CDU remains near 9-10%, Die Linke around 11-12%, and smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the 5% threshold. These stable trends across multiple surveys explain trader consensus favoring the SPD for second place, with limited movement in the final weeks before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$2,598结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages position the SPD firmly in second place behind the AfD ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with the Social Democrats holding 28-29% support compared to the AfD’s 35-36%. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and modest recent gains by the SPD have reinforced this positioning, while the CDU remains near 9-10%, Die Linke around 11-12%, and smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the 5% threshold. These stable trends across multiple surveys explain trader consensus favoring the SPD for second place, with limited movement in the final weeks before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$2,598结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position the SPD firmly in second place behind the AfD ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with the Social Democrats holding 28-29% support compared to the AfD’s 35-36%. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and modest recent gains by the SPD have reinforced this positioning, while the CDU remains near 9-10%, Die Linke around 11-12%, and smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the 5% threshold. These stable trends across multiple surveys explain trader consensus favoring the SPD for second place, with limited movement in the final weeks before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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