Recent polling trends show Die Linke competitive at 18–22% in Berlin, translating to projected seat totals clustered around the 20–34 range under the 5% threshold and proportional allocation rules for the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. This positioning stems from sustained emphasis on housing affordability, social spending, and urban infrastructure priorities, which have lifted the party above its prior 12% result while AfD, CDU, and Greens remain within a few points. The narrow spread across those four parties creates volatility in final seat math, as small shifts in turnout or preference flows among younger and urban voters can alter remainders and overhang. Coalition arithmetic and late-campaign positioning on cost-of-living measures remain the main variables that could push Linke above or below the current market clusters before the September 20 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于30-34 31%
25-29 25%
20-24 24%
35-39 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
7%
20-24
24%
25-29
25%
30-34
31%
35-39
17%
40+
7%
30-34 31%
25-29 25%
20-24 24%
35-39 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
$119 交易量
7%
20-24
$81 交易量
24%
25-29
$0 交易量
25%
30-34
$0 交易量
31%
35-39
$38 交易量
17%
40+
$45 交易量
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling trends show Die Linke competitive at 18–22% in Berlin, translating to projected seat totals clustered around the 20–34 range under the 5% threshold and proportional allocation rules for the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. This positioning stems from sustained emphasis on housing affordability, social spending, and urban infrastructure priorities, which have lifted the party above its prior 12% result while AfD, CDU, and Greens remain within a few points. The narrow spread across those four parties creates volatility in final seat math, as small shifts in turnout or preference flows among younger and urban voters can alter remainders and overhang. Coalition arithmetic and late-campaign positioning on cost-of-living measures remain the main variables that could push Linke above or below the current market clusters before the September 20 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$283结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling trends show Die Linke competitive at 18–22% in Berlin, translating to projected seat totals clustered around the 20–34 range under the 5% threshold and proportional allocation rules for the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. This positioning stems from sustained emphasis on housing affordability, social spending, and urban infrastructure priorities, which have lifted the party above its prior 12% result while AfD, CDU, and Greens remain within a few points. The narrow spread across those four parties creates volatility in final seat math, as small shifts in turnout or preference flows among younger and urban voters can alter remainders and overhang. Coalition arithmetic and late-campaign positioning on cost-of-living measures remain the main variables that could push Linke above or below the current market clusters before the September 20 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$283结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends show Die Linke competitive at 18–22% in Berlin, translating to projected seat totals clustered around the 20–34 range under the 5% threshold and proportional allocation rules for the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. This positioning stems from sustained emphasis on housing affordability, social spending, and urban infrastructure priorities, which have lifted the party above its prior 12% result while AfD, CDU, and Greens remain within a few points. The narrow spread across those four parties creates volatility in final seat math, as small shifts in turnout or preference flows among younger and urban voters can alter remainders and overhang. Coalition arithmetic and late-campaign positioning on cost-of-living measures remain the main variables that could push Linke above or below the current market clusters before the September 20 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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