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2026年中期选举赔率与预测

已更新 7月 21, 2026 下午 11:20 ET

2026 中期选举 赔率与预测

00
天
00
小时
00
分钟
00
秒
交易$100 -> $176
49 共和党51 民主党
交易$100 -> $116
203 共和党232 民主党
摇摆
略倾民主党
倾向民主党
稳固民主党
无竞选
略倾共和党
倾向共和党
稳固共和党

公投

热门议题市场
$4M 成交量

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

67% 概率不通过

+4.0%
交易
$6.4K 成交量

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% 概率不通过

+1.5%
交易
新

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% 概率不通过

-1.0%
交易

最大竞选

最关键的市场
$1M 成交量

AK Governor

58% 共和党

-3%
交易
$1M 成交量

ME Senate

68% 民主党

+2%
交易
$611K 成交量

TX Senate

50% 民主党

+0%
交易

所有竞选

529 市场
竞选
州
领先
层级
显示 25/50 个市场

2026年中期选举赔率

California Governor Election WinnerXavier Becerra
93%
Steve Hilton
7%
Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich
35%
Bernadette Wilson
30%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
16%
Treg Taylor
9%
David Bronson
6%
Bill Walker
5%
Click Bishop
2%
Nancy Dahlstrom
1%
Matt Heilala
1%
Mary Peltola
1%
Matt Claman
1%
Lesil McGuire
1%
Maine Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
68%
Republican
32%
Texas Senate Election WinnerKen Paxton (R)
56%
James Talarico (D)
44%
Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola
60%
Dan Sullivan
42%
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerRandy Fine
96%
Dan Bilzerian
1%
Michigan Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
84%
Republican
16%
Independent
1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican
71%
Independent
30%
Democrat
1%
Iowa Senate Election WinnerRepublican
62%
Democrat
39%
Michigan Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
69%
Republican
32%
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerRepublican
84%
Democrat
18%
Montana Senate Election WinnerRepublican
90%
Independent
9%
Democrat
1%
New York Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
93%
Republican
8%
North Carolina Senate Election WinnerRoy Cooper (D)
87%
Michael Whatley (R)
14%
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
57%
Republican
42%
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerCori Bush
54%
Wesley Bell
47%
Georgia Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
87%
Republican
14%
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerDonavan McKinney
73%
Shri Thanedar
25%
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWilliam Lawrence
55%
Matt Maasdam
27%
Bridget Brink
18%
MA-06 Democratic Primary WinnerDan Koh
71%
Tram Nguyen
28%
Seth Moulton
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
1%
John Beccia
1%
Mariah Lancaster
1%
Kevin Larivee
1%
Georgia Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
56%
Republican
44%
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerChristina Hines
82%
Eric Chung
14%
Tim Greimel
6%
FL-23 Democratic Primary WinnerLois Frankel
94%
Victoria Doyle
3%
Oliver Adams Larkin
2%
Arizona Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
78%
Republican
22%
AL-01 Republican Primary WinnerJerry Carl
99%
Austin Sidwell
4%
Rhett Marques
2%
John Mills
1%
AZ-01 Democratic Primary WinnerAmish Shah
97%
Marlene Galán-Woods
2%
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerJeremy Moss
84%
Aisha Farooqi
15%
FL-09 Republican Primary WinnerThomas Chalifoux
42%
Dan Green
26%
Jorge Martinez
13%
Marcus Carter
12%
Justin Story
5%
Ben Butler
3%
Howard Steven Rance
2%
Jorge Malavet
1%
Steve Rance
1%
AZ-05 Democratic Primary WinnerElizabeth Lee
100%
Vermont Governor Election WinnerRepublican
83%
Democrat
18%
MN-05 Democratic Primary WinnerIlhan Omar
98%
Latonya Reeves
2%
Maine Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
94%
Republican
6%
MN-02 Republican Primary WinnerEric Pratt
98%
Tyler Kistner
1%
New Mexico Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
89%
Republican
12%
FL-20 Democratic Primary WinnerDebbie Wasserman Schultz
72%
Elijah Manley
27%
Alaska At-Large Primary WinnersNick Begich III
99%
Bill Hill
96%
Matt Schultz
58%
John Williams
55%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
33%
Gavin Solomon
1%
Louisiana Senate Election WinnerRepublican
93%
Democrat
8%
CT-01 Democratic Primary WinnerLuke Bronin
72%
John Larson
26%
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?Mary Peltola
64%
Sen. Dan S. Sullivan
33%
Earl D. "Skip" Southworth
15%
Richard Grayson
2%
Scott Kohlhaas
1%
David Leslie
1%
Richard Benedict Mayers
1%
Heather McElwain
1%
Shirley Saucerman
1%
Dan J. Sullivan
1%
New Hampshire Governor Election WinnerRepublican
79%
Democrat
22%
Alabama Senate Election WinnerRepublican
95%
Democrat
5%
MO-04 Democratic Primary WinnerHartzell Gray
60%
Randy Miller
17%
Jordan Herrera
11%
Wayne Russell
8%
Jeanette Cass
5%
Ashleigh Rogers
3%
G Rick
2%
HI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerEd Case
53%
Jarrett Keohokalole
45%
Nicholas Kiswanto
4%
Jennifer Booker
3%
Ben Fatula
1%
Arkansas Governor Election WinnerRepublican
94%
Democrat
2%
WI-03 Democratic Primary WinnerRebecca Cooke
90%
Emily Berge
8%
MO-05 Republican Primary WinnerRick Brattin
71%
Taylor Burks
18%
Brett Hueffmeier
5%
Micah Beebe
4%
Brad Patty
4%
Berton A. Knox
1%
FL-07 Republican Primary WinnerRyan Elijah
79%
Cory Mills
18%
Mike Johnson
6%
Sarah Ulrich
4%
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerJohn Rutherford
92%
Mark Kaye
10%
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerKeith Gross
53%
Evan Power
33%
Austin Rogers
17%
Jim Norton
14%
Lee Jones
12%
Nick Lewis
9%
Luke Murphy
9%
Audie Rowell
9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes
34%

关于2026年美国中期选举

2026年美国中期选举定于2026年11月3日举行，将决定第120届美国国会的组成以及广泛的州和地方职位。全部435个众议院席位、100个参议院席位中的35个、美国各州36个州长职位以及全国各地众多州议会、行政和地方竞选都将出现在选票上。这是自1894年以来首次在非连续总统第二任期内举行的全国性中期选举，Donald Trump 总统在 Republicans 于2024年总统大选中横扫总统职位、参议院和众议院后重返白宫，建立了自2017年以来未曾出现的联邦政府统一执政。...

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