Recent polling averages show a dead heat between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton ahead of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, aligning with trader consensus near parity. Talarico's fundraising edge—over $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million—has fueled stronger support among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a Trump endorsement, consolidated conservative turnout. Key issues including the economy and immigration divide the electorate sharply by age and party. Developments that could shift the race include sustained outside spending patterns, turnout differentials in battleground regions, or candidate positioning on border security ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$781,154 交易量
$781,154 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
52%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
50%
$781,154 交易量
$781,154 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$370,676 交易量
52%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$410,477 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show a dead heat between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton ahead of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, aligning with trader consensus near parity. Talarico's fundraising edge—over $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million—has fueled stronger support among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a Trump endorsement, consolidated conservative turnout. Key issues including the economy and immigration divide the electorate sharply by age and party. Developments that could shift the race include sustained outside spending patterns, turnout differentials in battleground regions, or candidate positioning on border security ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$781,154结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show a dead heat between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton ahead of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, aligning with trader consensus near parity. Talarico's fundraising edge—over $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million—has fueled stronger support among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a Trump endorsement, consolidated conservative turnout. Key issues including the economy and immigration divide the electorate sharply by age and party. Developments that could shift the race include sustained outside spending patterns, turnout differentials in battleground regions, or candidate positioning on border security ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$781,154结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show a dead heat between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton ahead of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, aligning with trader consensus near parity. Talarico's fundraising edge—over $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million—has fueled stronger support among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a Trump endorsement, consolidated conservative turnout. Key issues including the economy and immigration divide the electorate sharply by age and party. Developments that could shift the race include sustained outside spending patterns, turnout differentials in battleground regions, or candidate positioning on border security ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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